Punxsutawney Phil Vs. the U.S. National Temperature 1988–2012

Phil's cute. But he's not taking my job.

Since 1993, the U.S. National Temperature has been above normal 11 times in February, 12 times in March, below normal 6 times in February, 3 times in March, and near normal 3 times in February and 5 times in March.

FOR FUN...let's pretend above average temperatures in both February and March represents spring arriving early.  OK...that's 11 out of the last 25 years.  But out of those 11 years, Phil only predicted an early spring 4 times ('99, '97, '95, '90). Get it together man.

In 116 years of records, Phil saw...
His shadow: 100 times
No shadow: 16 times