Thursday, October 30, 2014

Nothing Spooky This Halloween. November Is A Different Story...

 Weather Cliffnotes:
  • 50s, increasing clouds Halloween
  • 40s for Trick Or Treaters
  • Breezy & wet at times Saturday
  • Blustery & cold Sunday, gusts 40+ mph

Tonight: Partly cloudy, chilly. Lows: middle 30s to around 40 degrees.

Tomorrow: Increasing clouds, chance for an isolated late day shower. High:middle 50s. Dress for temps in the 40s by Trick Or Treat time.

Saturday: Cloudy, breezy and cool with showers or a period of rain. High: upper 40s to around 50 degrees. NE wind at 10-20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

Sunday: Blustery and cold. High: mid 40s to around 50 degrees. NW wind at 15-25 mph with higher gusts up to 40 mph.

Monday: Mostly sunny. High: middle to upper 50s.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy, warming trend. High: middle 50s to around 60 degrees.

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Bye bye 70s

  • Bye bye 70s!
  • 50s Thursday & Friday
  • Taste of winter this weekend
  • Chance for a rain shower Saturday, no snow

Tonight: Early shower then clearing. Low: 42-47.

Thursday: Sunshine mixing with clouds. Sharply cooler. High: Mid to upper 50s. 

Friday: Partly sunny. High: Mid to upper 50s. Upper 40s for trick or treaters around sunset. 

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with the chance for a few showers or sprinkles. Cold and windy. Northeast wind 15-25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. High: Low to mid 40s.

Sunday: Morning wind chills in the 10s and 20s! Blustery and cold.  High: Lower to middle 40s. Wind gusts up to 40+ mph.

Monday: Sunshine mixing with some afternoon clouds. Not as cold as recent days. High: middle 50s.

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Big Cold To Start Off November

Weather Headlines:
  • One more mild day Wednesday.
  • Cooler Thursday & Friday, 50s.
  • COLD this weekend! 40s.

Forecast Details:

Tonight: Increasing clouds late. Low: 53-58.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, chance for an afternoon shower in spots. High temperatures in the middle 60s to around 70 degrees.

Thursday: Partly cloudy and cooler. High temperatures in the middle to upper 50s. Partly cloudy and cooler. High temperatures in the middle to upper 50s.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, cool. High temperatures in the middle to upper 50s. Upper 40s for trick or treaters around sunset.

Saturday: Cloudy, windy and cold with scattered showers. A few wet snowflakes could mix in for the higher elevations. High in the middle to upper 40s.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, blustery and cold. High temperatures in the lower to middle 40s.

Forecast Discussion:
ECMWF showing 35-45 mph
wind gusts on Sunday

We have one more mild day before temps begin the big slide downhill.  This weekend is a big area of interest because of rumors regarding a potential snow storm.  The first snow of the season is always an exciting or scary milestone (depending on who you ask).  But right now while it looks like the cold blast is a lock, the snow is NOT.

We are confident this weekend will be cold and blustery! But it looks like the ingredients for a storm will come together too late and too far offshore to bring us a big storm.  This is also a fast moving system with no blocking downstream. High pressure will quickly build in behind the storm bringing in dry air.  For now we are forecasting some showers on Saturday.  I can't rule out some snowflakes mixing in for the higher elevations but I'm not expecting any accumulation.  Either way we're watching and will keep you posted!

Monday, October 27, 2014

Weather Headlines:
  • Milder 2 days, Near 70
  • Shower late Wednesday
  • Cooler Thursday & Friday
  • Cold this weekend, stormy too?
Forecast Details:

Tonight: Mostly clear with increasing clouds late. Low: Upper 30s to middle 40s.

Tomorrow: Early morning clouds break for sunshine. Warmer! High: Mid 60s to near 70 degrees.

Wednesday: Increasing clouds, chance for a late day shower. Mild. High: Mid 60s to near 70 degrees.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny and cooler. High: Upper 50s to near 60 degrees.

Friday: Partly cloudy and cool. High: Mid 50s.

Friday night: Mid to upper 40s around sunset for Trick or treaters!

Saturday: Cloudy, cool, raw, windy and wet with showers (rain may even mix with some wet snow, especially in the hills). High temperatures in the middle and upper 40s.

Weather Discussion:
Where Does the Low go? Look at the spread in storm
location within just one computer model.  TOO EARLY!
The next couple of days will be warmer with highs between 65 and 70 degrees Tuesday and Wednesday. But don’t get used to it!  A cold front late Wednesday will bring the chance for a shower or sprinkle followed by cooler air Thursday and beyond.

There is a lot of chatter about snow this week!  Normally, I try to avoid hyping up events that are 6 days away…for obvious reasons. Errors in forecasting grow over time and there is a big disparity between the various models that we look at.  Yes, it’s going to get cold by this weekend with high temps in the 40s.  And yes, a storm will develop near New England. But the track and intensity of this storm is still in question. For one, there is no downstream blocking that snow lovers want to see for a nice long duration event. This should be a fast mover. Plus the NAO looks like it will be trending positive (another strike for snow lovers).  The forecast hinges on the northern and southern branches of the jet stream and whether or not that energy phases and where. We’re tracking energy that has to travel all the way from Alaska!  So for now prep for a cold and windy day with the chance for some showers .  Rain could mix or even change over to some wet snow in spots (especially in the hills).  But I wouldn’t break out the snow gear just yet.

Thursday, October 23, 2014

An End In Sight

Weather Headlines:
  • Lingering showers tonight
  • Early shower Friday, then slow improvement
  • Brighter, dry weekend
  • Warming up a bit next week, near 70?

Tonight: Leftover showers. Low: 40s.

Tomorrow: Chance for an early morning shower. Otherwise mostly cloudy with some peeks of sun. Breezy. North wind at 10 to 20 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, milder and pleasant. High temperatures in the lower to middle 60s.

Sunday: Partly sunny and blustery. High temperatures in the upper 50s to around 60 degrees.

Monday: Mostly sunny, seasonable. High temperatures in the lower 60s.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, milder than recent days. High temperatures in the middle to upper 60s.

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

30 Weeks Preggers

Many think I'm ready to "pop" at any moment.    Everyone knows the camera adds 10 pounds.  Here's a fun fact.  During pregnancy, the camera adds 3 months! I still have 10 weeks left. Yesterday I got a tweet asking me if I was having triplets.

Today I had the most amazing glimpse at my babe to be.  My last ultrasound was at 20 weeks. And the baby looked like an alien skeleton cat.  He was all skin and bones...scary!  But he was my alien cat and I loved him just the same. 

This time around, baby looked actual baby!  What a treat! They estimate he weighs 3 pounds 8 ounces and will gain about half a pound a week for the rest of the pregnancy.  That puts him at over 8 pounds by the end of this pregnancy.  Oh boy!

I just read in one of my dozen baby books that I'm supposed to be interviewing pediatricians. I just want to find a Doc that will give a lollypop after the parents. ;)

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Dreary Details

Weather Headlines:
  • Off & on showers through Thursday
  • Heaviest rain Wednesday night
  • Slow improvement on Friday
  • Brighter Weekend
Forecast Details:

Tonight: Occasional rain and drizzle.  Low 50s.

Tomorrow: Cloudy and cooler with occasional showers and drizzle. High temperatures in the 50s to around 60 degrees. Heaviest rain at night.

Thursday: Cloudy and cool with scattered showers and drizzle. High temperatures in the mid to upper 50s.

Friday: Chance for a lingering shower early, otherwise mostly cloudy. High temperatures in the lower to middle 60s.

Saturday: Partly cloudy, brighter than recent days. High temperatures in the lower 60s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy. High temperatures in the lower 60s.

Monday, October 20, 2014

Here Comes The Rain Again...And Again, And Again

Cut off low this week
Bottle up thoughts of sunshine. You’ll need to in order to make it through the week.  A cut off low will set up shop the next several days.  It’s called a cut off low because the storm will be “cut off” from the jet stream (the force that normally steers storms along). That means the storm will sit and spin Tuesday through Thursday producing lots of clouds and periods of rain.  It will not rain for three days straight.  No need to prepare the ark.  But keep the umbrella handy as waves of energy rotate around the upper level low.  Friday will be our transitional day leading up to a dry weekend with more in the way of sunshine.  By that point, we’ll deserve it!

Tonight: Cloudy, maybe a sprinkle. Low: Mid 40s.

Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High: lower to middle 60s.

Wednesday: Cloudy, cool and breezy with periods of rain.  High: upper 50s to around 60 degrees. 
North wind at 10-20 mph.

Thursday: Cloudy with scattered showers. High: upper 50s to around 60 degrees.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, damp. High: around 60 degrees.

Saturday: Partly cloudy and dry! High: lower 60s statewide.

Friday, October 17, 2014

From 70s to 50s - Our Weekend Reality Check!

There's no need to cancel outdoor plans on Saturday.  Showers will be hit or miss. In fact,  it's not a bad day to spend outside with temps around 70 degrees for the last day in a while!  Temperatures fall off the cliff on Sunday with highs in the middle 50s and a chilly breeze.  By Monday morning a widespread frost is possible with temperatures in the 30s right down to the coast.

Next week looks a little ugly.  With a storm stuck off the coast, we'll cope with lots of clouds and waves of cold rain Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and part of Friday! Yuck.

Tonight: Increasing clouds, chance for patchy fog. Low: Low to mid 50s.

Saturday:  Clouds and some sun, chance for a passing shower. West wind at 5 to 15 mph, gusts to 20 mph. High: Near 70 degrees.

Sunday: Windy and colder. Morning clouds break for afternoon sunshine. Northwest wind at 10 to 20 mph. High: Mid to upper 50s.

Monday: Cool despite plenty of sunshine.  Some high clouds mixing in during the afternoon.  High: Upper 50s to around 60 degrees.

Tuesday: Increasing clouds with showers developing. High: Upper 50s to around 60 degrees.

Wednesday: Cool and cloudy with scattered showers. High: Upper 50s to around 60 degrees.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Super Soaker Thursday

Weather Headlines:
  • Wash out Thursday with 1”-2” of rain & embedded thunderstorms
  • Still mild but less humid Friday & Saturday
  • The real chilly stuff arrives Sunday & beyond
  • Frost likely Monday morning (hard freeze for typical cool spots?)

Forecast Details:

: Few showers around.  Steady rain developing late. Low: Low to mid 60s.

Tomorrow: Periods of rain, some heavy with a few embedded thunderstorms. Remaining breezy and humid.  High: lower 70s.

Friday: Patchy fog early. Partly cloudy and noticeably less humid. Remaining mild. High: lower 70s.

Saturday: Sunny start with increasing clouds. Chance for an isolated shower. High: upper 60s.

Sunday: Noticeably cooler! Mostly sunny in the morning, partly cloudy by afternoon. High: Mid to upper 50s.

Monday: A frosty start to the day! Cool despite plenty of sunshine. High: low to mid 50s.
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