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Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Frozen Turkeys!

This will be the coldest Thanksgiving since 2002! Morning football games and the Manchester Road Race will get off to a frosty start with temperatures in the upper 20s.  But it will feel like the teens and twenties all day when you factor in the winds, gusting up to 30 miles an hour. At least we’ll see plenty of sunshine.  Friday will be just as cold but with less wind, the day will feel a lot more comfortable. Saturday remains dry but a few rain or snow showers are possible on Sunday.

Tonight: A leftover rain or snow shower early. Then clearing, colder. Low: 20s

Tomorrow: Colder and blustery. Northwest winds 10 to 20 miles an hour with gusts up to 30. Wind chill in the 10s and 20s.

Friday: Mostly sunny, cool. Less wind than recent days. High temperatures in the middle 30s inland, upper 30s for the shoreline.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, a bit milder. Increasing clouds late. High temperatures in the mid to upper 30s.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, a bit milder than recent days. Chance for a few rain or snow showers. High temperatures near 40 degrees.   

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Wet and Windy Wednesday!

Torrential rain, a deluge, raining cats and dogs….I’m running out of ways to describe just how heavy the rain will get on Wednesday!  Rain will be acco

What could make pre-Thanksgiving traffic even more horrendous? Torrential rain and high winds!

Timing: Tonight through Wednesday afternoon. The heaviest rain and highest winds will occur after midnight through Wednesday morning.

Alerts: The National Weather Service has issued a Flood Watch in effect statewide from midnight through Wednesday afternoon. With the rainfall deficit at 5-6 inches, major rivers are extremely low and will not flood.  But some smaller streams will rise. Poor drainage flooding will be an issue, especially with all the leaves on the ground (some clogging storm drains). Also, basement flooding could be an issue, especially if you still have leaves in your gutters.

 In addition, a Wind Advisory is in effect for Hartford, Tolland, Windham, New London, Middlesex counties and the shoreline of New Haven and Fairfield Counties with gusts up to 50 mph.  High winds could take down small/weak tree limbs and produce a few outages too.

Forecast Details:
The rain has already started, mixing in with sleet in some towns. But any mix will change entirely over to rain as temperatures climb through the evening and overnight hours. By tomorrow morning, temperatures will be soaring through the 40s and low 50s.

Rain will come down in sheets Wednesday morning accompanied by winds gusting up to 40 or 50 miles an hour. Rain will taper off in the mid to late afternoon, ending at night. Sharply colder air will follow. This means any leftover puddles Wednesday night could turn into an ice skating rink by Thanksgiving morning.

At the Manchester Road Race, temperatures will start off right around the 30 degree mark, but it will feel like the teens when you factor in the winds!  Gusts will get up to 30 mph.  High temperatures will only reach into the low 30s. Sunshine will mix with a few clouds as the day progresses.

Daily Forecast:
Tonight: Rain, becoming heavy. Winds increasing. Temperatures rising through the 40s.

Tomorrow: Rain, heavy at times. Gusty south wind blowing at 15 to 30 miles an hour with gusts to 40-50 (highest in eastern CT). Rain tapering off mid-late afternoon. High temperature in the mid 50s to near 60 degrees.

Thursday: Colder and blustery. Northwest winds 10 to 25 miles an hour with gusts up to 40. Wind chill in the 10s and 20s. High temperature in the low 30s.

Friday: Mostly sunny, cool. Less wind than recent days. High temperatures in the middle 30s inland, upper 30s for the shoreline.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, a bit milder. Increasing clouds late. High temperatures in the upper 30s to near 40 degrees.

Sunday: Increasing clouds, a bit milder than recent days. Chance for a rain or snow shower late day or at night. High temperatures in the low 40s.  

Monday, November 25, 2013

Wednesday's Forecast: Rain, Wind & Traffic

 Torrential rain and high winds will accompany one of the busiest travel days of the year! 2”-4” of rain Tuesday night – Wednesday could cause poor drainage/basement flooding.  Now would be a great time to make sure fallen leaves are free from storm drains and gutters. I also expect lots of airport delays caused by a low cloud deck and high winds.
ECMWF (Euro) Total rainfall

The wind will howl all day Wednesday and could contribute to a few power outages. Southerly winds will blow consistently at 15 to 30 miles an hour with higher gusts up to 50 – 60 miles an hour!  A High Wind Watch is in effect for eastern Connecticut including Tolland, Windham, New London and Middlesex counties and the shoreline of New Haven and Fairfield Counties. These areas are most likely to experience those higher gusts up to 60 miles an hour!
ECMWF 10 m wind gusts. Note Gusts are in Knots!

Timing: While Tuesday is mainly dry, a rain or snow shower is possible late in the day or at night as the next storm approaches. While a brief wintry mix is possible at the onset of precipitation Tuesday night, everyone will quickly change over to rain.  Rain will come down heavy at times Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon. By Wednesday night, rain is tapering off.

Tonight: Increasing clouds. Low: 20-30

Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy, chance for a rain or snow shower late in the day or at night. Brief wintry ix possible at night before changing over to rain. Heavy rain overnight. High: Low 40s inland, mid 40s for the shoreline.

Wednesday: Rain, heavy at times. Gusty south wind blowing at 15 to 30 miles an hour with gusts to 50-60 (highest in eastern CT). Rain tapering off late. Highs: 50s and low 60s

Thursday: Colder and blustery. Northwest winds 10 to 25 miles an hour with gusts up to 40. Wind chill in the 10s and 20s. High: Low 30s.

Friday: Mostly sunny, cool.  Less wind than recent days. High temperatures in the middle 30s inland, upper 30s for the shoreline.


Saturday: Mostly sunny, a bit milder. Increasing clouds late. High temperatures in the upper 30s to near 40 degrees.

Friday, November 22, 2013

Let The Cooldown Begin

Cool air arrives in stages this weekend. Stage one arrives Saturday with high temperatures in the 40s along with a nice mix of sun and clouds. Stage two will arrive on Sunday with harsh cold that will remind you winter is around the corner.  The arctic front bringing the big chill arrives Saturday night along with the chance for a snow shower. Winds will crank up on Sunday with gusts up to 40 mph and a wind chill in the single digits and teens. It will feel like zero or colder by Monday morning.

Tonight: Chance for showers, then late clearing. Lows: 34-39

Tomorrow: Cold and windy with a few flurries or snow showers. High temperatures in the upper 20s inland, low 30s for the shoreline. Wind chills in the teens and single digits. Gusts up to 35+ mph.

Monday: Partly cloudy, cold, not as windy. High temperatures in the middle to upper 30s.

Tuesday: Increasing clouds. High temperatures in the middle to upper 30s. Chance for a few flurries or a snow shower late day or at night.

Wednesday: Watching the possibility of a coastal storm, with gusty winds. Mainly rain is expected but parts of the state could get a wintry mix. It’s too early to get into specifics with a storm 5 days away.  There is too much uncertainty.  But it’s certainly worth watching if you have any travel plans leading up to Thanksgiving.


Thursday, November 21, 2013

Mild, Showers Friday, Crashing Temps This Weekend

Friday will be the mildest day for a while before temps take a nose dive. Skipping into the future, we are closely watching the potential for a coastal storm next Wednesday, especially since it’s a major travel day. There is still a lot of uncertainty. The storm could miss us entirely, or bring a nasty combination rain and wind.  Right now a big snow storm is least likely of all the scenarios. Whatever ends up happening, Thanksgiving looks dry but cold with high temperatures in the 30s.

Tonight: Not as cold. Mostly cloudy. Lows: 33-43

Tomorrow: Morning showers or areas of rain.  Mainly dry in the afternoon with mostly cloudy skies. Some brightening is possible. Mild with high temperatures in the 50s.

Saturday: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny, cooler and breezy. High temperatures in the lower 40s.

Sunday: Colder and windy with the chance for some flurries. A high temperature near 30 degrees with wind chills in the teens. Gusts up to 35+ mph.

Monday: Partly cloudy, cold, not as windy. High temperatures in the middle to upper 30s.

Tuesday: Increasing clouds. High temperatures in the middle to upper 30s. Watching a possible coastal storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

You Call This Cold!? Wait Til Sunday!

Video Forecast: Wednesday Weather: Milder, Cooler Days Ahead

Clouds and the temperature will increase the next couple of days. That slight warm up will not last long. A cold front will bring a shower in spots late Friday into early Saturday, followed by harsh winter cold. High temperatures on Sunday will struggle to reach the freezing mark and wind chills will be in the teens. By Sunday night it will feel like the single digits. The next prospect for rain/snow is Wednesday.  Exact details are uncertain, the storm could miss entirely.  But it bears watching.

Tonight: Partly cloudy to clear. Low: 20s

Tomorrow: Sunshine mixing in with high clouds. A bit milder than recent days. High temperatures in the middle 40s.

Friday: Milder with increasing clouds. High temperatures in the upper 40s inland, lower 50s for the shoreline. Chance for a sprinkle or shower in spots.

Saturday: A lingering morning shower or two followed by some clearing. Becoming windy. High temperatures in the middle 40s inland, upper 40s for the shoreline. 

Sunday: Colder and windy with the chance for some flurries. High temperatures will be in the 30s with wind chills in the teens!

Monday: Partly cloudy, cold, not as windy. High temperatures in the middle to upper 30s.

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Colder The Next 24 Hours

Tuesday Afternoon Weather: Colder Temperatures Ahead

Brrrrrr!  What a difference one day can make.  Temperatures today were about 20 degrees cooler than this time yesterday.  And I know you could feel the difference!

Wednesday will be the coldest day of the week but at least the wind is diminishing! High pressure building in overhead will provide abundant sunshine.  As the high slips offshore Thursday and Friday a slight warming trend will get underway. Clouds will increase late week, followed by showers late Friday into Saturday morning.  Arctic cold takes over on Sunday behind the front.  Along with winter cold will be winter precipitation.  Don’t be surprised if you see a few flurries flying around!

Tonight: Clear, cold! Low: 22-28

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, chilly. Less wind than recent days. High temperatures in the lower 40s inland, middle 40s for the shoreline.

Thursday: Sunshine mixing in with high clouds, especially late in the day. High temperatures in the middle 40s inland, upper 40s for the shoreline.

Friday: Milder with increasing clouds. High temperatures around the 50 degree mark. Chance for a sprinkle or shower in spots late.

Saturday: Morning showers give way to some afternoon clearing. Becoming windy. Another mild day with high temperatures around 50 degrees.


Sunday: Colder and windy with the chance for some flurries. High temperatures will be in the 30s with wind chills in the 20s.

Monday, November 18, 2013

Cooler But Not Cold.

Bye By 60s! It's been real.

Fall weather went on hold for a bit. But reality is settling back in. Temperatures Tuesday will run about 15 to 20 degrees cooler than Monday. While no doubt you will notice the drop in temperature, by November standards, it’s not arctic cold.  In fact, temperatures will remain fairly close to average this week with highs in the 40s most days accompanied by mostly sunny skies. A little warming trend is even possible late week. The real frigid stuff returns early next week with highs in the 30s.

Tonight: Clear start, becoming partly cloudy and breezy. Low: 36-39.

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy to mostly clear, breezy and noticeably cooler. Northwest wind at 10 to 25 miles an hour. High temperatures in the mid to upper 40s.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, chilly. High temperatures in the lower 40s inland, middle 40s for the shoreline.

Thursday: Sunshine mixing in with high clouds, especially late in the day. High temperatures in the middle 40s inland, upper 40s for the shoreline.

Friday: Milder with increasing clouds. High temperatures around thee 50 degree mark. Chance for a sprinkle or shower in spots at night.


Saturday: Showers and areas of rain developing. Another mild day with high temperatures around 50 degrees. Arctic cold arrives Sunday.

Friday, November 15, 2013

Mild Right Through The Weekend

My Friday evening forecast gets off to a running start. Haha: Friday Evening Weather: Comfortable, Mostly Cloudy Tonight

This mild stretch continues right through the weekend making for great weather for outdoor plans!  Saturday will start off cloudy but will get brighter as the day progresses. Clouds return Sunday with the chance for a shower in spots. But most of the day will remain dry. The best chance for widespread rain will be late Sunday night into Monday as a cold front approaches.  Warmth peaks Monday in the low 60s. Cooler air returns behind the front as high temperatures drop back into the 40s.

Tonight: Not as cold. Mostly cloudy. Low: 35-45

Tomorrow: Clouds break for partly to mostly sunny skies. A brighter afternoon! High temperatures ranging from the mid 50s to near 60 degrees.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, mild. Chance for a sprinkle or shower in spots. High temperatures ranging from the mid 50s to near 60 degrees. A warm night!

Monday: Showers and areas of rain through midday followed by clearing. The high temperature will occur in the morning with falling temps by afternoon.

Tuesday: Cooler and breezy with partly to mostly sunny skies. High temperatures in the Mid to upper 40s.


Wednesday: Sunshine mixing in with high clouds. High temperatures in the mid to upper 40s.

Thursday, November 14, 2013

Complete 180 Today. From Winter Back To Fall

You can watch the 4PM Show's Forecast video here: Thursday Weather: Clear, Not As Cold Tonight

What a difference one day can make! Yesterday we were all wearing winter coats with a mid December chill.  Now temperatures are running above average with highs in the mid to upper 50s Friday through the weekend. Clouds will stream in from time to time the next few days with a southwest flow. A sprinkle or two is possible on Sunday. But the next best chance at rain will be Monday. Temperatures will take a run at the 60 degree mark before rain develops. Cooler air follows Tuesday and beyond.

Tonight: Not as cold. Lows: 28-35

Tomorrow: Milder with sunshine and high clouds. High temperatures in the middle 50s.

Saturday: Pleasant and mild with partly cloudy skies. Temperatures in the mid to upper 50s.

Sunday: Clouds and some sun, mild. Chance for a sprinkle or two. High temperatures in the mid to upper 50s.

Monday: Warm for mid November! Mostly cloudy with showers or areas of rain developing. High temperatures around 60 degrees.

Tuesday: Cooler and breezy with partly to mostly sunny skies. High temperatures in the Mid to upper 40s.

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

New Graphics Make Me Happy

I don't paint anymore. I make weather graphics.  That's art, right? That's what I like to tell myself.



Spent a lot of the night creating this little gem. Send me a glamour shot of your town & I would be happy to add it! rfrank@foxct.com I'm obsessed with making new graphics, in case you didn't know. Got to keep it fresh!

Near Record Breaking Chill Today, Temperatures Inching Up

Check out my forecast video from today here: Wednesday Weather: A Sunny And Warmer Weekend Ahead

The last couple of days offered a taste of early winter cold with temperatures stuck in the 30s! In fact, Bridgeport was only one degree shy of breaking a record today, for the coldest high temperature on November 13th.   I couldn’t even get my dog to go for a walk with me this morning.  He looked at me with his sad puppy dog eyes, like he was saying “do I have to?”

Thursday is a transitional day with sunshine and a southwest wind allowing highs to approach 50 degrees. And temperatures will soar well into the 50s Friday into the weekend. By early next week, the thermometer will flirt with 60 degrees before our next cool down. After today, that’s practically beach weather!

Tonight: Clear, cold. Hot chocolate weather. Lows: 22-28

Tomorrow: Not as cold as recent days. Less wind too. Mostly sunny skies. High temperatures in the upper 40s to near 50 degrees.

Friday: Milder with mostly sunny sunny skies. High temperatures in the low to middle 50s.

Saturday: Pleasant and mild with mostly sunny skies to start. Clouds thicken up later in the day. High temperatures in the mid to upper 50s.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, mild. Chance for a shower, mainly late. High temperatures in the mid to upper 50s.

Monday: Warm for mid November! Mostly cloudy with showers or areas of rain developing. High temperatures near 60!

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

First Snow Of The Season, Milder Late Week

Check out this video: 'Tuesday Afternoon Weather: Coldest Day Of The Season'

We eased into winter weather this morning.  Most of the state saw their first flakes of the year!  Luckily, most of the snow stuck to the grass (and not the roads).  The highest accumulations could be found in southwest Connecticut. Ridgefield measured 2” of snow. Shelton was close behind with 1.5”.  Bethany and Prospect also measured around an inch. You can always find snow accumulations or peak wind gusts here.

Now that the snow has melted, the big story is the winter cold left behind. Near record cold is in the forecast for tonight. The overnight record for Windsor Locks is 18 degrees set back in 2001. I don’t think Bradley International Airport will break it.  But we’ll be in the ballpark!  Tomorrow…30s. The last time temperatures failed to hit 40 degrees was all the way back in March for the second day of spring! But winter haters don’t have to wait long for temps to rebound. Thursday is milder and 50s return Friday into the weekend. 

Tonight: Clearing, cold. 17-23 inland. 23-25 shoreline.

Wednesday: A taste of winter. Chilly, despite wall to wall sunshine. Remaining breezy. High temperatures struggle to reach 40 degrees.
Wind Chill Wednesday AM

Thursday: Not as cold as recent days. Less wind too. Mostly sunny skies. High temperatures in the upper 40s to near 50 degrees.

Friday: Milder with mostly sunny sunny skies. High temperatures in the low to middle 50s.

Saturday: Pleasant and mild with mostly sunny skies to start. Clouds thicken up later in the day. High temperatures in the mid to upper 50s.


Sunday: Mostly cloudy, mild. Chance for a shower. High temperatures in the mid to upper 50s.

Monday, November 11, 2013

First Snow Of The Season

SNO-M-G! (Sorry, I couldn't resist).
Winter will be in the air tomorrow morning. An arctic front swings through tonight bringing a few light rain showers to start. Rain will mix in and change to snow tomorrow morning. Some heavier snow squalls are possible too which could lower visibility and drop a quick coating of snow in spots. While little or no accumulation is expected (less than one inch), the poor timing will result in some issues for the early commute. Watch out for slick spots as temperatures will be in the 30s statewide. Snow ends between 7am-9am from northwest to southeast. The rest of the day is breezy and chilly! Temps rebound late week, back to the 50s!

Tonight: Rain/snow showers developing late. Low: 33-37

Tomorrow: A rain or snow squall around early in the morning. Partly cloudy, breezy and cold. Most of the day will be in the 30s.

Wednesday: A taste of winter.  Chilly, despite wall to wall sunshine. Remaining breezy. High temperatures around 40 degrees.

Thursday: Not as cold as recent days. Less wind too. Mostly sunny skies. High temperatures in the upper 40s and low 50s.

Friday: Milder with mostly sunny sunny skies. High temperatures in the low to middle 50s.       
     
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, mild. Chance for a shower. High temperatures in the low to middle 50s.