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Friday, August 7, 2009

NOAA Lowers Hurricane Season Outlook

Remember on June 2nd when I wrote this on my blog? "Every year forecasters put out predictions about the number of storms. I ALWAYS take these numbers with a grain of salt. At times us weather-folk have been known to make a mistake on the 7 day forecast...So how can you expect forecasters to predict the number of tropical storms in a whole season?"

Well, now it seems those forecasters are biting their tongues, changing their initial hurricane predictions for the 2009 season. I would still take the forecast with a grain of salt. But least the predicted number of storms is dropping, and you can thank El Nino. "El NiƱo produces stronger upper-level westerly winds over the Caribbean Sea and tropical Atlantic Ocean, which help to reduce hurricane activity by blowing away the tops of growing thunderstorm clouds that would normally lead to tropical storms.”

Even though this hurricane season had a quiet start, it's not over yet! The peak usually occurs in late August through October.

Click here to read the NEW forecast for the 2009 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

1 comment:

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