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Monday, January 24, 2011

Weather Discussion--Two Rounds of Snow

Snow showers will develop after midnight tonight. Most places will just pick up a light coating of snow. But there could be a few towns, especially in northern Connecticut that get close to an inch or two of fresh powder. The bad news is, there will be some slick spots tomorrow morning. The good news is, the snow is associated with milder air. Temperatures tomorrow will be about 20 degrees warmer than today. Any leftover snow will end by midday with partial clearing. Tuesday night will be quiet with partly cloudy skies. Our next Nor’easter is taking shape in the Gulf of Mexico. The storm will cross over Florida, bringing the south a round of severe weather. Then the storm will ride up the east coast, heading towards the Virginia coast by Wednesday.

There is still a lot of uncertainty in the track of the storm. But at this point a wintry mix of snow, sleet, rain and freezing rain will break out late tomorrow (between 1 P.M. – 4 P.M.) Then precipitation will change entirely over to snow. Areas that turn to snow quickly (inland) will have a good chance at 6” or more of snow accumulation. The evening commute on Wednesday will probably be a bit messy as the storm overspreads the area. Mixing will occur longer in southeast Connecticut where milder air will try to mix in.

The track of the storm will determine accumulations. If the storm tracks further east then the state will get all snow. If the storm tracks closer to the coast, more rain and sleet will move further inland, cutting down accumulations down a bit.

This system will quickly exit the region on Thursday morning (8-11 A.M.) with clearing skies and colder temperatures for the end of the week.

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