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No change to our thinking with Tropical Storm Arthur. the damaging winds and heaviest rain remain offshore as storm spins out to sea, becoming a hurricane. BUT (and you knew this was coming), there will be two major indirect impacts from the storm. Tropical moisture out ahead of Arthur will feed into an approaching cold front Thursday bringing heavy rain, especially Thu PM into the overnight. Up to 2" is possible in spots with flash flooding concerns. Another major indirect impact will be rough surf and dangerous rip currents for 4th of July weekend.
It looks like the general model consensus is to shift the storm's track farther east than yesterday.